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Red97
162934.1
760521.8
341435.0
Blue87
350424.2
598515.7
177846.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92860501502009787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#30
35.00.6
27.027.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
blue by 11.7
1778
#20
46.70.4
41.942.3
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
1629
#22
34.10.6
30.431.0
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 9.9
3504
#53
24.20.4
22.322.7
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Third
7605
#64
21.80.6
24.925.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 6.1
5985
#65
15.70.4
14.514.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed