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Red87
642923.5
691932.9
61031.4
Blue83
276745.4
188021.4
234118.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8587506070801001108783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#18
32.90.0
29.229.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
blue by 12.5
45.40.0
45.045.1
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End6.6
Second
610
#54
31.40.0
27.927.9
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
red by 10.0
1880
#47
21.40.0
17.017.0
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Third
6429
#34
23.50.0
21.021.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End0.9
red by 5.3
2341
#52
18.30.0
15.415.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed