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Red124
25454.5
909832.8
118938.3
Blue34
61913.1
403940.2
300816.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14548010020012434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
54.50.1
55.255.2
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
red by 14.3
4039
#36
40.21.5
41.239.6
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
1189
#35
38.30.1
34.234.1
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 21.5
3008
#57
16.81.5
8.16.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Third
9098
#19
32.80.1
30.530.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
red by 29.7
6191
#75
3.11.7
5.74.0
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed