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Red66
31634.1
909832.8
36911.8
Blue60
25454.5
839318.9
601415.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610360801201406660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#27
34.10.9
36.735.8
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End3.7
blue by 20.4
254
#1
54.52.4
57.655.2
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
Second
9098
#19
32.80.9
31.430.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
red by 13.9
8393
#66
18.92.4
18.315.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
369
#62
11.80.9
11.410.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 3.3
6014
#41
15.12.4
15.112.7
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed