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Red78
598515.7
300816.8
132359.8
Blue90
29428.9
83635.8
102531.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411540601001401601807890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.3
56.956.6
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
red by 24.0
836
#4
35.80.8
35.734.8
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
Second
3008
#57
16.80.3
8.48.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 14.5
1025
#15
31.30.8
29.028.1
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
5985
#65
15.70.3
14.714.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 13.2
294
#40
28.90.8
35.734.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned88%Ensemble oddsMissed