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Red72
561432.7
366342.6
96139.2
Blue107
691932.9
115637.4
8532.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851086010012014072107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
40.439.9
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
red by 5.2
1156
#31
37.40.5
33.332.8
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Second
5614
#50
32.70.5
29.529.0
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 0.3
6919
#18
32.90.5
29.729.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
Third
9613
#71
9.20.5
9.48.9
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 23.4
85
#44
32.60.5
31.731.2
Auto11.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned