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Red46
96139.2
162934.1
711118.4
Blue88
88826.6
335412.2
644340.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6185020401001201401604688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#22
34.10.8
31.030.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3
blue by 6.5
6443
#10
40.60.3
35.836.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
Second
7111
#69
18.40.8
18.818.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End0.5
blue by 8.1
888
#32
26.60.3
24.925.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
Third
9613
#71
9.20.8
8.47.6
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 3.0
3354
#61
12.20.3
13.313.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned