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Red121
297446.3
29428.9
413032.9
Blue68
77486.0
439228.9
350424.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13649010015020012168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.5
45.746.2
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
red by 17.4
4392
#16
28.90.7
27.027.7
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
4130
#43
32.90.5
33.033.6
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
red by 8.7
3504
#53
24.20.7
22.723.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Third
294
#40
28.90.5
34.134.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 22.9
7748
#73
6.00.7
5.15.8
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed