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Red104
8532.6
601415.1
940137.5
Blue92
636631.4
393736.9
598515.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828360709010010492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#17
37.51.5
30.231.7
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
3937
#28
36.90.8
31.332.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Second
85
#44
32.61.5
31.032.4
Auto11.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
red by 1.2
6366
#42
31.40.8
28.429.3
Auto8.2
Teleop21.5
End1.7
Third
6014
#41
15.11.5
13.715.1
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 0.6
5985
#65
15.70.8
14.915.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned