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Red46
561432.7
36911.8
347210.1
Blue102
102531.3
5935.7
347317.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508802040608010012014046102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#50
32.70.3
29.729.4
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 3.1
59
#45
35.70.8
34.635.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Second
369
#62
11.80.3
10.310.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 19.4
1025
#15
31.30.8
27.428.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
3472
#70
10.10.3
9.99.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 7.2
3473
#56
17.20.8
13.314.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsEarned