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Red102
403940.2
118938.3
947710.2
Blue104
804824.9
31634.1
5827.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9599050150200102104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#36
40.20.6
39.640.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 6.1
316
#27
34.10.7
33.634.3
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End3.7
Second
1189
#35
38.30.6
34.134.7
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 11.2
58
#39
27.10.7
31.231.8
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Third
9477
#74
10.20.6
12.413.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 14.7
8048
#33
24.90.7
24.325.0
Auto6.7
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned