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Red114
949517.8
25454.5
502429.4
Blue109
115637.4
760521.8
276745.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091148090100120130114109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
54.51.0
55.256.1
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
red by 9.1
45.40.5
45.145.5
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End6.6
Second
5024
#23
29.41.0
25.926.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 8.0
1156
#31
37.40.5
31.632.1
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Third
9495
#46
17.81.0
18.419.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 4.0
7605
#64
21.80.5
25.626.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
85%Ensemble oddsEarned82%Ensemble oddsEarned