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Red130
460739.2
362031.4
580439.9
Blue77
300816.8
477933.4
432927.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236205010015013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#37
39.91.7
37.539.3
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
red by 6.4
4779
#11
33.40.6
30.230.8
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End2.7
Second
4607
#13
39.21.7
37.839.5
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
red by 12.0
4329
#29
27.20.6
26.627.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
Third
3620
#14
31.41.7
28.730.4
Auto15.0
Teleop14.2
End2.2
red by 14.6
3008
#57
16.80.6
6.67.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed