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Red104
61031.4
341435.0
636631.4
Blue112
333939.1
96139.2
297446.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92106406080100120140104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#30
35.01.2
27.628.8
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
blue by 11.3
46.30.8
46.247.0
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
Second
610
#54
31.41.2
27.929.0
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
3339
#12
39.10.8
40.741.5
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
Third
6366
#42
31.41.2
29.330.4
Auto8.2
Teleop21.5
End1.7
red by 22.2
9613
#71
9.20.8
7.68.5
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed