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Red83
350424.2
591415.3
940137.5
Blue67
601415.1
561432.7
319626.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837240601001208367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#17
37.50.6
31.732.3
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
red by 4.8
5614
#50
32.70.0
29.429.4
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
3504
#53
24.20.6
23.524.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
blue by 2.2
3196
#60
26.40.0
22.222.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
Third
5914
#68
15.30.6
18.419.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 0.2
6014
#41
15.10.0
15.115.2
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed