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Red87
547235.3
29428.9
234118.3
Blue82
5935.7
947511.1
36911.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905602040801001201408782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#26
35.30.7
27.728.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.5
End2.8
blue by 0.4
59
#45
35.71.8
35.437.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Second
294
#40
28.90.7
34.635.3
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 17.1
369
#62
11.81.8
10.011.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
2341
#52
18.30.7
14.915.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.2
red by 7.1
9475
#67
11.11.8
9.411.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed