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Red70
347210.1
77486.0
909832.8
Blue55
179717.4
960214.1
366342.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488102040601001201407055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#19
32.81.5
32.033.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
blue by 9.7
42.61.3
40.839.5
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
Second
3472
#70
10.11.5
9.711.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 7.3
1797
#49
17.41.3
13.111.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
7748
#73
6.01.5
5.87.3
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
blue by 8.0
9602
#72
14.11.6
15.313.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed