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Red83
335412.2
403940.2
5827.1
Blue84
188021.4
11138.0
83635.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95910501502008384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#36
40.20.2
40.240.1
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 2.2
111
#38
38.00.1
28.428.4
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Second
58
#39
27.10.2
31.831.7
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End2.3
blue by 8.8
836
#4
35.80.1
37.537.6
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
Third
3354
#61
12.20.2
13.513.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
blue by 9.2
1880
#47
21.40.1
17.017.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned