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Red108
179218.3
301532.4
502429.4
Blue117
31634.1
177846.7
949517.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821104060100120140160180108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#51
32.42.0
36.138.1
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
blue by 14.3
1778
#20
46.71.4
42.343.7
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
5024
#23
29.42.0
26.828.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 4.7
316
#27
34.11.4
34.335.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End3.7
Third
1792
#58
18.32.0
14.816.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 0.5
9495
#46
17.81.4
19.420.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsEarned