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Red69
115637.4
580439.9
598515.7
Blue104
756522.7
644340.6
804824.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979305015020025069104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#37
39.91.2
39.338.1
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
blue by 0.8
6443
#10
40.61.3
36.137.3
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
Second
1156
#31
37.41.2
32.130.9
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 12.4
8048
#33
24.91.3
25.026.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
5985
#65
15.71.2
15.714.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 7.0
7565
#59
22.71.3
23.825.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed