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Red135
341435.0
132359.8
439228.9
Blue82
393736.9
711118.4
350631.4
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134735010015020013582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.4
57.658.0
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
red by 22.9
3937
#28
36.90.6
32.132.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Second
3414
#30
35.00.4
28.829.2
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
red by 3.6
31.40.6
23.223.8
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End0.5
Third
4392
#16
28.90.4
27.728.1
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 10.5
7111
#69
18.40.6
18.018.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed