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Red62
347210.1
756522.7
547235.3
Blue119
502429.4
644340.6
83635.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641225010015020062119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#26
35.30.2
28.328.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.5
End2.8
blue by 5.3
6443
#10
40.60.7
37.338.0
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
Second
7565
#59
22.70.2
25.124.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
blue by 13.2
836
#4
35.80.7
37.638.3
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
Third
3472
#70
10.10.2
11.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 19.3
5024
#23
29.40.7
28.929.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned