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Red121
366342.6
11138.0
29428.9
Blue120
580439.9
301532.4
118938.3
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212680100120140160180121120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.7
39.540.2
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
red by 2.7
5804
#37
39.90.5
38.138.6
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
Second
111
#38
38.00.7
28.429.1
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End0.7
blue by 0.2
1189
#35
38.30.5
36.136.6
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Third
294
#40
28.90.7
35.336.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
blue by 3.5
3015
#51
32.40.5
38.138.6
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned