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Red108
189119.0
561432.7
403940.2
Blue60
439228.9
333939.1
598515.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95912040608012014016018010860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#36
40.20.5
40.140.5
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 1.1
3339
#12
39.11.5
40.539.0
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
Second
5614
#50
32.70.5
29.429.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
red by 3.7
4392
#16
28.91.5
28.126.6
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
1891
#48
19.00.5
16.316.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End1.6
red by 3.3
5985
#65
15.71.5
14.513.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed