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Red109
362031.4
8532.6
319626.4
Blue125
297446.3
162934.1
960932.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88122406080100140160180109125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#44
32.61.2
32.533.7
Auto11.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
blue by 13.7
46.30.9
47.047.9
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
Second
3620
#14
31.41.2
28.930.2
Auto15.0
Teleop14.2
End2.2
blue by 2.7
1629
#22
34.10.9
29.230.1
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Third
3196
#60
26.41.2
22.223.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
blue by 6.4
9609
#24
32.80.9
30.331.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned