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Red108
88826.6
691932.9
102531.3
Blue91
179717.4
347632.0
341435.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947620406012014010891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#18
32.91.7
30.532.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
blue by 2.0
3414
#30
35.01.2
29.230.4
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Second
1025
#15
31.31.7
26.728.3
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 0.8
3476
#25
32.01.2
29.831.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
Third
888
#32
26.61.7
26.027.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
red by 9.2
1797
#49
17.41.2
11.813.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed