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Red60
839318.9
291050.2
760521.8
Blue115
460739.2
393736.9
642923.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97104608012014016060115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.22.2
44.642.4
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 11.0
4607
#13
39.20.5
39.039.5
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
Second
7605
#64
21.82.2
25.523.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 15.0
3937
#28
36.90.5
32.733.2
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
8393
#66
18.92.2
18.616.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 4.6
6429
#34
23.50.5
21.822.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned