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Red81
947511.1
177846.7
300816.8
Blue48
335412.2
947710.2
61031.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72592040801001208148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#20
46.71.2
43.744.9
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
red by 15.3
610
#54
31.40.5
29.028.5
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
Second
3008
#57
16.81.2
8.59.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
red by 4.6
3354
#61
12.20.5
13.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Third
9475
#67
11.11.2
11.212.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
red by 0.9
9477
#74
10.20.5
12.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed