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Red82
35947.6
87809.9
432927.2
Blue49
347317.2
601415.1
949517.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105480204060801201408249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#6
47.60.7
51.550.8
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
red by 29.8
9495
#46
17.80.9
20.819.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Second
4329
#29
27.20.7
26.325.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
red by 9.9
3473
#56
17.20.9
14.113.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
8780
#63
9.90.7
10.39.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End-0.2
blue by 5.2
6014
#41
15.10.9
15.214.3
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned