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Red136
432927.2
393736.9
347847.7
Blue62
947511.1
598515.7
88826.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12349010015013662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.9
43.545.4
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 21.2
888
#32
26.60.6
27.628.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
Second
3937
#28
36.91.9
33.235.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 21.2
5985
#65
15.70.6
13.013.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
4329
#29
27.21.9
25.527.4
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
red by 16.0
9475
#67
11.10.6
12.413.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned