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Red109
711118.4
960932.8
25454.5
Blue89
5935.7
580439.9
947710.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12195608014016018010989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
54.50.2
56.256.1
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
red by 14.6
5804
#37
39.91.9
38.636.6
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
Second
9609
#24
32.80.2
31.130.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
blue by 2.9
59
#45
35.71.9
38.336.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Third
7111
#69
18.40.2
19.119.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End0.5
red by 8.2
9477
#74
10.21.9
12.010.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned