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Red91
642923.5
333939.1
839318.9
Blue62
335412.2
413032.9
949517.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8870204060801001201409162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#12
39.10.9
39.039.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
red by 6.2
4130
#43
32.90.9
32.731.8
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
Second
6429
#34
23.50.9
22.323.2
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End0.9
red by 5.7
9495
#46
17.80.9
19.919.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
8393
#66
18.90.9
16.417.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 6.7
3354
#61
12.20.9
12.912.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsEarned