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Qual 762024 Newton Division
Red95
502429.4
691932.9
403940.2
Blue125
940137.5
297446.3
350631.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311605010015020095125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#36
40.21.0
39.9→38.9
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
blue by 6.1
2974
#7
46.31.4
44.8→46.1
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
Second
6919
#18
32.91.0
33.0→32.1
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
blue by 4.6
9401
#17
37.51.4
34.5→35.9
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
Third
5024
#23
29.41.0
29.5→28.6
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 2.0
3506
#8
31.41.4
25.3→26.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed