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Red64
276745.4
5827.1
301532.4
Blue95
132359.8
36911.8
319626.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309960801201401601802006495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.43.3
46.543.2
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End6.6
blue by 14.4
59.80.6
59.358.8
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
Second
3015
#51
32.43.3
35.632.3
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
red by 6.0
3196
#60
26.40.6
23.122.6
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
Third
58
#39
27.13.3
31.628.3
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 15.3
369
#62
11.80.6
11.010.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
92%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsEarned