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Red43
760521.8
61031.4
347210.1
Blue81
118938.3
61913.1
601415.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635701001502002503004381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#54
31.40.9
28.227.3
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
blue by 6.9
1189
#35
38.31.9
36.638.6
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
7605
#64
21.80.9
20.119.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 6.7
6014
#41
15.11.9
14.216.1
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
3472
#70
10.10.9
7.97.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 7.0
6191
#75
3.11.9
1.33.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed