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Red71
947511.1
711118.4
580439.9
Blue89
909832.8
102531.3
642923.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72990501502007189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#37
39.90.2
36.636.5
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
red by 7.0
9098
#19
32.80.9
33.833.0
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
Second
7111
#69
18.40.2
19.018.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End0.5
blue by 12.8
1025
#15
31.30.9
29.728.9
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
9475
#67
11.10.2
13.012.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
blue by 12.4
6429
#34
23.50.9
23.222.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned