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Red71
960932.8
96139.2
188021.4
Blue74
189119.0
839318.9
598515.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801001207174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9609
#24
32.80.8
30.931.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 13.8
1891
#48
19.01.8
16.418.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End1.6
Second
1880
#47
21.40.8
20.020.8
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
red by 2.5
8393
#66
18.91.8
17.319.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
9613
#71
9.20.8
8.39.1
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 6.5
5985
#65
15.71.8
13.615.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned