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Red71
8532.6
333939.1
179717.4
Blue62
947710.2
432927.2
350424.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102660501507162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#12
39.11.5
39.938.4
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
red by 11.9
4329
#29
27.20.1
27.427.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
Second
85
#44
32.61.5
33.031.6
Auto11.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
red by 8.4
3504
#53
24.20.1
26.326.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Third
1797
#49
17.41.5
15.413.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End1.5
red by 7.2
9477
#74
10.20.1
10.110.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed