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Red91
949517.8
341435.0
5935.7
Blue66
83635.8
362031.4
591415.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989360801201409166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#45
35.70.2
36.436.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
blue by 0.1
836
#4
35.81.3
35.133.9
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
Second
3414
#30
35.00.2
32.632.8
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
red by 3.6
3620
#14
31.41.3
32.030.8
Auto15.0
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
9495
#46
17.80.2
19.019.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 2.5
5914
#68
15.31.3
17.716.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
70%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed