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Red90
234118.3
347317.2
297446.3
Blue111
115637.4
347632.0
118938.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912405010015020090111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.9
46.147.0
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
red by 8.0
1189
#35
38.30.3
38.638.8
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
2341
#52
18.30.9
16.717.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 19.1
1156
#31
37.40.3
35.836.1
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Third
3473
#56
17.20.9
13.714.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 14.8
3476
#25
32.00.3
32.532.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed