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Red106
362031.4
949517.8
644340.6
Blue80
691932.9
636631.4
77486.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101785015010680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#10
40.60.7
38.939.5
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
red by 7.7
6919
#18
32.90.5
32.132.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
Second
3620
#14
31.40.7
30.831.5
Auto15.0
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Level
6366
#42
31.40.5
32.733.1
Auto8.2
Teleop21.5
End1.7
Third
9495
#46
17.80.7
19.219.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 11.8
7748
#73
6.00.5
8.48.9
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed