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Red123
83635.8
341435.0
333939.1
Blue156
177846.7
5935.7
347632.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123122100110130140150123156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#12
39.10.3
39.339.6
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
blue by 7.6
1778
#20
46.70.9
45.746.5
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
836
#4
35.80.3
36.036.3
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
red by 0.1
59
#45
35.70.9
35.035.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Third
3414
#30
35.00.3
34.935.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
red by 2.9
3476
#25
32.00.9
31.031.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9