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Red133
460739.2
644340.6
115637.4
Blue124
580439.9
909832.8
366342.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129128120125130135133124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#10
40.60.3
40.340.6
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
blue by 2.0
42.60.2
42.742.6
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
Second
4607
#13
39.20.3
38.939.2
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
blue by 0.6
5804
#37
39.90.2
40.039.9
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
Third
1156
#31
37.40.3
37.037.4
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 4.5
9098
#19
32.80.2
33.032.8
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4