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Red122
393736.9
297446.3
35947.6
Blue97
333939.1
83635.8
162934.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1551165010020012297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#6
47.60.4
49.248.8
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
red by 8.5
3339
#12
39.10.3
39.439.1
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
Second
46.30.4
47.947.5
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
red by 10.5
836
#4
35.80.3
36.135.8
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
Third
3937
#28
36.90.4
38.438.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 2.7
1629
#22
34.10.3
34.434.1
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3