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Red189
291050.2
691932.9
347847.7
Blue108
177846.7
5935.7
347632.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15312250100200250189108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.21.0
51.552.5
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 3.5
1778
#20
46.70.2
46.546.3
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
47.71.0
49.050.0
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 12.0
59
#45
35.70.2
35.935.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Third
6919
#18
32.91.0
34.235.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
red by 0.9
3476
#25
32.00.2
31.931.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9