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Red68
856713.5
99973.4
16621.3
Blue27
19012.4
804611.0
63675.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060806827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#5
21.31.0
21.322.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
red by 8.8
190
#9
12.40.8
13.612.8
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Second
13.51.0
13.314.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End-0.4
red by 2.5
8046
#18
11.00.8
13.212.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
Third
9997
#13
3.41.7
3.04.7
Auto3.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
blue by 2.1
6367
#12
5.60.8
8.47.6
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed