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Red35
207910.2
23814.6
31922.7
Blue70
63246.0
632833.9
346719.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576802040801001201403570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
22.71.4
23.922.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
blue by 11.3
33.90.6
34.635.2
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
238
#16
14.61.4
16.815.4
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 4.8
19.40.6
19.820.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
2079
#17
10.21.4
12.010.6
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End-0.1
red by 4.2
6324
#10
6.00.6
6.16.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed