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Red38
23814.6
19012.4
63246.0
Blue77
568734.0
13128.4
346719.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311050501502003877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#16
14.60.2
18.818.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 19.4
34.00.7
31.931.2
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End1.2
Second
190
#9
12.40.2
12.312.1
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 16.0
131
#6
28.40.7
33.633.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Third
6324
#10
6.00.2
6.05.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 13.4
19.40.7
21.320.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsMissed