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Red25
237022.9
99973.4
804611.0
Blue41
632833.9
856713.5
4925-0.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5958203040507080902541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#15
22.91.5
27.726.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.5
End0.3
blue by 11.1
33.91.2
38.737.5
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
8046
#18
11.01.5
16.314.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
blue by 2.5
13.51.2
14.813.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End-0.4
Third
9997
#13
3.42.5
3.81.2
Auto3.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
red by 4.2
4925
#14
-0.71.2
0.4-0.8
Auto0.8
Teleop-1.2
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed