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Red45
99973.4
23814.6
632833.9
Blue89
31922.7
16621.3
13128.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65920501001504589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.8
37.536.7
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 5.5
131
#6
28.40.0
33.033.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
238
#16
14.60.8
18.617.8
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 8.1
319
#3
22.70.0
25.025.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
Third
9997
#13
3.41.4
1.2-0.1
Auto3.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
blue by 17.8
166
#5
21.30.0
21.821.8
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed